Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.301998 13.032194 14.881376 16.998379 19.348344 21.870340 24.774890
2025-02-16 8.590198 10.756314 13.219013 16.204626 19.703633 23.651526 28.418712
2025-02-23 7.009105 9.417254 12.301232 15.965401 20.449556 25.709983 32.295341
2025-03-02 5.759999 8.258885 11.396425 15.552266 20.833036 27.237099 35.499938
2025-03-09 4.891356 7.443844 10.788616 15.385274 21.420048 28.948868 38.912843
2025-03-16 4.119631 6.645591 10.095074 15.004044 21.647745 30.154461 41.674515
2025-03-23 3.637640 6.183995 9.791293 15.083753 22.436104 32.060021 45.346833
2025-03-30 3.193517 5.717894 9.424633 15.024741 22.999595 33.656114 48.634040
2025-04-06 2.879058 5.408174 9.245754 15.198674 23.864753 35.657160 52.492015
2025-04-13 2.604623 5.126739 9.076676 15.359576 24.697146 37.619614 56.334852
2025-04-20 2.426469 4.981622 9.097890 15.791702 25.920852 40.144676 61.000084
2025-04-27 2.238839 4.796930 9.036381 16.083251 26.936894 42.395908 65.334118
2025-05-04 2.008987 4.512983 8.793773 16.080183 27.517407 44.055087 68.904388
2025-05-11 1.689775 4.022037 8.161819 15.410119 27.044033 44.164410 70.266386
2025-05-18 1.488971 3.730254 7.841261 15.216359 27.280423 45.298734 73.106211
2025-05-25 1.285205 3.403292 7.427087 14.833187 27.189865 45.929914 75.214946
2025-06-01 1.136933 3.170506 7.160746 14.678209 27.445606 47.074602 78.090189
2025-06-08 0.980840 2.896453 6.790508 14.313355 27.334387 47.644422 80.111683
2025-06-15 0.892233 2.762592 6.676070 14.391087 27.948320 49.337946 83.845825
2025-06-22 0.798929 2.603042 6.495671 14.334632 28.328432 50.669568 87.054022
2025-06-29 0.736340 2.509724 6.440217 14.502345 29.090170 52.615417 91.235649
2025-07-06 0.678248 2.418904 6.381331 14.657424 29.831152 54.541704 95.422307
2025-07-13 0.646482 2.393543 6.458402 15.073828 31.038088 57.240217 100.856103